Since it appears to be Boggs vs. Miley-Skaff-White, this scenario leaves Boggs in a position to build support by promising the chairmanships of the powerful Finance and Judiciary committees.
This will play out over the next several weeks.
Thompson will resign June 15, and the House must be called into session within 10 days to choose a new speaker. No doubt allegiances will shift many times between now and the end of the June.
And it's also possible that if a majority of the four cannot come to some agreement and hard feelings develop, they'll have to go to another House Democrat as a compromise candidate that everyone can agree upon.
Meanwhile, the Republicans will watch with interest, hoping the selection devolves into a battle that splits the majority party.
That could make it harder for the Democrats to maintain their 54-46 advantage in the 2014 election.
A Republican surge in the next election would mean that all the maneuvering currently underway by Democrats was moot, since it will be the GOP that will have to make key leadership decisions.
But for now, all the drama is with House Democrats.
Kercheval is host of TalkLine, broadcast by the MetroNews Statewide Radio Network from 10 a.m. to noon Monday through Friday. The show can be heard locally on WCHS 580 AM.