Republicans are pleased with themselves these days. The president is mired in scandals while the public does not believe they have overreached. Veteran Senate Democrats have retired, making possible a flip in Senate control.
The GOP's strongest leaders
(Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie) are riding high in the polls.
Yet overconfidence is dangerous. There are grounds for concern:
* Immigration reform fails. Failure goes beyond a defeat for Rubio (a potential presidential candidate), beyond another round of blame-the-Republicans, and beyond yet another opportunity to broaden the party's appeal.
It would be the triumph of Malthusians (more people equals scarcity) over the optimistic, pro-growth vision that has propelled the party for the last 30 years.
* Crackpottery prevails on national security.
Between ludicrous misrepresentations --- the government is listening to your phone calls, the National Security Agency programs lacked oversight - and a refusal to recognize that our success in connecting the dots is the most important prevention technique we have, otherwise thoughtful Republicans sound like Sarah Palin (we're "becoming a totalitarian surveillance state").
Stop. Think. Make sure you've got the facts. Before opining on the Fourth Amendment, learn what it says.
* Republicans run only on scandals.
Sure, the GOP might pick up a few seats in the House and Senate here and there in 2014, but it probably won't be enough to take the Senate and it won't give Republicans a mandate or a chance to explain to the voters what they are for, not merely that the Obama folk are up to no good.
* They remain fixed on the budget and tax reform. It isn't happening. Move on. The president has made clear the price for everything is a tax hike, which is horrid for the anemic economy and a political non-starter.