I'm told there was very little conversation at the leadership meeting about a possible speaker's race, but the message from Thompson was clear: he fully expects to be re-elected speaker.
Those in opposition to Thompson will find what every other insurgency learns; it's easy to get legislators to grouse privately about leadership, but it's another matter for them to publicly support another candidate.
"I've heard of these palace coups before," said one longtime statehouse observer, "and they often never materialize."
Any insurgency would be helped if Gov. Tomblin got involved, but that doesn't seem likely.
Tomblin would have an easier time with his legislative agenda with Thompson gone, but Tomblin, who spent 36 years in the Legislature, including 18 as Senate president, is reluctant to inject himself in leadership fights.
There is, however, the wildcard factor of the House Republicans getting involved.
The minority party typically supports its own leader for the speaker's position, even though he doesn't have the votes to win.
However, if Democrats emerge from their caucus divided over the speaker's race, the GOP could pick sides with one of the opposing party candidates.
That's possible, but unlikely.
It's often difficult to predict the outcome of legislative fights. Allegiances can shift like the tides. But as one veteran and independent vote counter, who believes Thompson will be re-elected, told me, "between teachers, labor and current leadership, the numbers are not close."
Kercheval is host of TalkLine, broadcast by the MetroNews Statewide Radio Network from 10 a.m. to noon Monday through Friday. The show can be heard locally on WCHS 580 AM.