One of the persistent political questions over the last couple of months has been whether Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin's push for more gun control has cost him in his home state.
A just-released poll by Republican strategist Mark Blankenship finds that Manchin's overall approval ratings have dropped from 70 percent last March to 63 percent now.
The simplistic conclusion is that Manchin's advocacy for expanded background checks for gun purchases has dug into his substantial support in a strong gun rights state.
However, Blankenship insists that a closer look at his numbers doesn't necessarily bear that out.
First, Blankenship maintains that a swing of five to 10 points in approval, particularly at a time when there's no campaign underway, may just be a temporary blip.
The true test will be if the next poll shows Manchin's approval numbers continuing to slide.
Additionally, Blankenship says, Manchin's approval-to-disapproval ratio remains at nearly 3 to 1, and there's been no notable rise in the percentage of voters who strongly or somewhat disapprove of the job he's doing.
Meanwhile, 67 percent of those questioned either strongly support or somewhat support Manchin's gun control legislation, while only 30 percent somewhat oppose or strongly oppose.
Blankenship believes the high approval numbers in West Virginia for additional background checks mean Manchin does not appear to be paying a high political price.
"It's a scratch," Blankenship told me. "You can't use these numbers to conclude that gun control hurt Manchin."
The poll also found a 10-point drop - 64 percent to 54 percent from March to now - in the approval rating of Republican Congresswoman and U.S. Senate candidate Shelley Moore Capito.