Yours truly didn't pick a No. 1 seed as the national champ. If you're going to do the same, don't drift too far down the national rankings. Since 1990, the non-No. 1 seeds to win the national title are as follows: No. 3 UConn in 2011; No. 3 Florida in 2006; No. 2 UConn in 2004; No. 3 Syracuse in 2003; No. 2 Kentucky in 1998; and No. 4 Arizona in 1997.
- OK, enough of the favorites.
In 2008, all four No. 1 seeds advanced to the Final Four. In the four years since, only four of 16 No. 1 seeds have won a region and advanced to the final weekend.
In the past two years, only 2012 national champion Kentucky advanced to the Final Four as the No. 1 seed. That means of the past eight Final Four participants there have been as many No. 1 seeds as No. 11 seeds thanks to VCU's historic run in 2011.
The odds are against a repeat of that.
Since 1990, 37 of 92 Final Four teams have been No. 1 seeds. In that same 23-year span, 57 of 92 - 62 percent - of Final Four teams have been a 1 or 2 seed. When considering the top four seeds in each region, 80 of 92 Final Four since '90 have been made up of that group.
The dozen outsiders who have crashed the party in the past 23 tournaments are made up of six No. 5 seeds, one No. 6 seed, three No. 8 seeds and two No. 11s.
As for my bracket, I've got Duke meeting Gonzaga and Beilein's Wolverines facing the veteran Miami Hurricanes in the Final Four. I've got Gonzaga and Miami squaring off in the national championship game.
Jim Larranaga's Hurricanes are my choice to win it all.
After all, a coach who has previously reached the Final Four has won 13 of the past 14 national championships.
Larranaga did that in 2006 with No. 11 seed George Mason.
Tournament history suggests that's a safe bracket play, but I cannot wait to be introduced to the next Bryce Drew.
Contact sports editor Chuck McGill at chuck.mcg...@dailymail.com or 304-348-7949. Follow him on Twitter @chuckmcgill